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Daily Archives: June 28, 2009

It’s a ‘good crisis’ for South American wine

by Sophie Kevany*

As the world grits its teeth and grabs another glass of something to chase the blues away, South American wine producers are contentedly watching exports bounce.
International wine sales from places like Chile, Argentina, Brazil and Peru are up in the first quarter of 2009, and industry professionals are saying the crisis has been positive for them.
"For Argentina it¹s the right wine, at the right price, at the right time," said Amelia Nolan of Argento, one of Argentina¹s best selling wine brands.
Already up 20 percent for the first part of this year, compared to 2008, the company aims to sell 700,000 cases in the year – 8.4 million bottles.
Such targets might seem risky given current gloom. But Argentina has seen its quality wine exports rise by an estimated 9.0 percent in value and 10 percent in volume, in the first five months of 2009, according to Caucasia, a Buenos Aires based analyst.
The figures are in sharp contrast to France, which lost 29 percent in export values in the first quarter and 15 percent in volume according to French national agency, France AgriMer.
Nolan, along with about 100 other South American wine producers, is in France this week for the world¹s biggest wine trade show, Vinexpo. The fair is held in Bordeaux biannually and this year brings together 40,000 visitors and 2,400 exhibitors from 48 countries.
"We are definitely profiting from the crisis and growing in every single market we are in," said Juan Somavia of Wines of Chile, the country¹s promotional body, speaking at the show.
Chile's export volumes are up, after a slow start in January and February by 20 percent in March, 16 percent in April and 23 percent in May.
Overall export values are down about 11 percent for the first four-month period, but individual producers said they are profiting from higher demand and a weaker peso.
"In value terms my Chilean sales are up 50 percent for the first five months of 2009," said Francois Lurton, a French producer with a small, high-end Chilean vineyard.
Lurton, who also has vineyards in Argentina, Spain, Portugal and France, estimated that of his 50 percent increase, 30 percent was higher demand and 20 percent a weaker Chilean peso due to copper prices falling in August and September last year.
"The lower prices of both Argentina and Chilean wines are eating into sales from France and Spain," he said.
Price is important in all markets, but so too is image, said Bernard Magrez, the Bordeaux-based wine billionaire with vineyards in Argentina and Chile.
"Buying a good Argentinean or Chilean shows you understand wine," Magrez said.
South American producers are also benefiting from consumers' preference for knowing what grape they are drinking.
The grape varieties of Malbec, Cabernet Sauvignon, Carmenere and Tannat – traditional 'old world' grapes originally from France – have found a second life in South America.
They are known and liked by consumers, particularly in places like Denmark where sales of red Chilean Cabernet Sauvignon now regularly outstrip the French equivalent.
France, and Bordeaux in particular, has mainly resisted putting grape names on the bottle, to its detriment.
"A Chilean Cabernet Sauvignon is an easy thing to buy," said a Danish visitor to Vinexpo. "You don't have to worry about the region or the chateau name, like in France."
The kind of grape used in South America is also currently playing in its favour, to the detriment of Australia some say.
"When a grape variety gets very popular, like Australia¹s Syrah, a lot of it gets made and quality falls," said Michel Rolland, a French wine consultant who owns vineyards in Argentina and France.
"It was the same with Merlot 10 years ago," he said, adding that by contrast South American Malbec and the rest are currently seen as better quality.
American wine importer Bob Guinn of TGIC – which sells 750,000 cases annually – agreed.
Guinn's South American imports rose 18 percent in the first five months of 2009, and he said current market perception was that Argentina and Chile offered better value at six US dollars compared to Australia.
At the upper end, he said, South America was also seen as better value at 30 dollars than France, Italy or the US for example.
Other parts of South America like Brazil and Peru are also increasingly reaching international consumers, and both say the crisis has helped.
Brazil, which saw an 18 percent increase in exports of sparkling wine in the first quarter, has already shifted almost 20 percent more wine this first quarter of 2009. Its main markets are Britain, Germany, The Netherlands and the United States.
And although the majority of buyers may be looking to South America to "stretch their wine dollar" as the trade calls it, that means cheaper, but not always cheap.
"We export wines at the 40-dollar price point, and we are up 10 percent on the first quarter of 2008," said Daniel Geller of Peru¹s Tacama winery.
It also helps that their wine recently made the wine list at a Paris restaurant belonging to celebrity chef, Alain Ducasse.
"So yes," said Geller, "you could say we are having a good crisis."


At least 1 million A(H1N1) cases in US

At least one million people in the United States have had swine flu, or around 50 times more than the number of cases reported to health authorities, US health authorities said Friday.
"We're saying that there have been at least a million cases of the new H1N1 virus so far this year in the United States," said Anne Schuchat of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
"Reported cases are really just the tip of the iceberg," said Schuchat, director of the CDC's National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, of the roughly 28,000 confirmed cases of A(H1N1) flu in the United States.
Around 3,000 people infected with swine flu in the United States have had to be hospitalised and 127 people are reported to have died.
The CDC arrived at its figure of one million cases based on computer models and surveys of communities known to have been hard hit by the new flu strain.
"There have been community surveys in a couple of areas looking at influenza-like illness in areas where we know there's a lot of the strain circulating and in many of those communities, they're reporting proportions of about 6 percent of community members having had an illness that's consistent with the new virus," Schuchat told reporters.
A community survey conducted in New York City, where the CDC believes there have been half a million cases of A(H1N1), showed 6.9 percent of residents experienced flu-like illness during a three-week period in May, Schuchat said.
"From their virologic testing, they knew that most of that influenza-like illness was based on this new H1N1 strain, and from that, they estimated that around half a million New York City residents may have been infected with this new virus and had flu-like illness without necessarily seeking care," Schuchat said.
Although an infection rate of around six percent is low compared with seasonal influenza, said the CDC official, "the survey in New York looked at a several-week attack rate while seasonal flu usually happens over weeks to months."
Schuchat said the actual figure of infected people in the United States was probably higher than one million and warned that swine flu might see higher infection rates than seasonal influenza.
"We believe the attack rates of this new virus, particularly in young people, may exceed the kind of attack rates we see with seasonal influenza," she said.
The highest rates of illness due to A(H1N1) flu are in people under the age of 25. The median age of people who have been hospitalized in the United States after being infected with the virus is 19, and the median age of those who have died is 37.
Schuchat repeated a warning that the new strain of swine flu could come back in a more virulent form with the return of flu season in the autumn and urged communities to begin mapping out a vaccination campaign.
Five companies are working to develop a vaccine against A(H1N1) flu, said Schuchat, without naming them.