China is scaling its private pension fund pilot program to a nationwide level in an effort to address mounting strains on its retirement system, Bloomberg has reported. However, the initiative, first launched in 36 cities in 2022, has already revealed significant hurdles, including lackluster fund performance and tepid investor interest.
Modeled after U.S.-style Individual Retirement Accounts, the program allows workers to contribute up to 12,000 yuan ($1,650) annually to tax-advantaged accounts.
This initiative is part of China’s broader pension reform, aiming to tackle challenges posed by a rapidly aging population—expected to exceed 400 million individuals aged 60 and older by 2035.
According to Bloomberg, the program’s initial rollout garnered attention from global financial players like BlackRock Inc., with some estimates, including Citic Securities Co., projecting potential asset growth to 12 trillion yuan by 2035. On December 15, the program will extend across the nation, as announced by the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security.
Additionally, investment options will expand to include sovereign bonds and certain index funds, such as those tracking the CSI 300 stock index, potentially attracting long-term investors.
Despite its potential, the program has faced difficulties. Bloomberg highlights that over 60 million people have signed up, yet only 22% of them have made contributions, according to a March report by local media outlet The Paper. By the end of 2023, the funds had collected a combined 28 billion yuan, and Ping An Securities Co. estimated that figure had doubled to 58 billion yuan this year.
Participation growth remains a concern. While over 700 million Chinese citizens are eligible for the program, not all stand to benefit. Only 67 million individuals paid personal income tax last year, with more than 60% taxed at the 3% rate—the same as the pension plan’s tax advantage—providing minimal incentive to participate, according to Ping An Securities.
China’s decision to delay its retirement age starting next year has also sparked public backlash, further complicating efforts to reform its retirement system.
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