The Meteorological and Geophysical Bureau (SMG) forecasts that the monsoon season this year may start before mid-June, earlier than the average, with between five and eight tropical cyclones estimated to affect Macau. A cyclone graded at a level above violent typhoon in severity may be witnessed. The La Nina phenomenon in the equatorial Pacific is fading and may develop into an El Nino phenomenon in the summer. Considering the effects of global warming, the temperature during the rainy season (April to September) this year may be normal or higher. The accumulated precipitation will be normal, but there is a possibility of extreme heavy rainfall.
