Hong Kong’s de facto central bank bought the local dollar for the first time since August after the city’s exchange rate fell to the weak end of its trading band against the greenback.
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority bought HKD1.507 billion (USD192 million) of local currency during London and New York trading hours, it said in a statement Saturday.
The main reason for the currency’s decline was a significant widening in the interest rate gap between the Hong Kong and U.S. dollars, HKMA Deputy Chief Executive Howard Lee said in the statement. He said it wouldn’t be surprising if the Hong Kong dollar again weakened to the bottom of its trading band, and the HKMA “stands ready” to defend the currency.
Abundant liquidity in the currency market, weak demand for loans and a lack of large-scale initial public offerings in Hong Kong have also contributed to the rate gap, Lee said.
Lower interest rates relative to the greenback have made shorting the Hong Kong dollar a lucrative trade. The HKMA, which needs to buy the currency at 7.85 per dollar to defend the trading band, intervened last year for the first time since 2005 at the weak side of the band.
Continued purchases by the authority would tighten liquidity, which may drive up borrowing costs in the city. The HKMA’s actions last year saw the aggregate balance, a measure of interbank liquidity, shrink by more than half. The balance stood at HKD76.3 billion on Friday, and will decline to HKD74.8 billion after the intervention.
“Reserve levels have been built up significantly over the past decade and the HKMA still has an ample amount of reserves to defend the USD/HKD range for now,” said Bipan Rai, head of North American foreign-exchange strategy at Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce. “It’ll likely be tested a few times, which may see further intervention. But any talk of the peg giving way is an extreme long shot.” Tian Chen & Katherine Greifeld, Bloomberg
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