It’s been 20 years since a financial meltdown spread through much of Asia, wrecking economies and bringing down governments.
They’ve long since recovered and, analysts say, are now stronger for the experience. But in Thailand — the epicenter of the crisis — the anniversary brings back painful memories for those who lived through it, and lost everything.
“It was like there was no way out for many of us,” said Supop Pavanan. Today he makes a comfortable living selling Buddhist amulets at his Bangkok shop and over the internet, but two decades ago he was among millions of victims of the great Asian crash.
Thailand’s boom of the mid- 1990s, fueled by unrestrained borrowing and a corrupt, lax finance system, collapsed on July 2, 1997, when the government devalued the baht. The currency sank, ruining companies and individuals almost overnight and starting a chain reaction that spread across borders.
Soon, many of Asia’s tiger economies were skinned alive.
Recessions struck from South Korea to Indonesia and millions were thrown out of work as investment and real estate bubbles burst, roiling global markets.
Bangkok came to resemble a giant flea market. Wealthy Thais sold their luxury goods at knock-down prices in parking lots. Cars, jewelry, vintage wine — even personal aircraft — all had to go.
“The worst thing was not knowing what would happen to you,” said Supop, who had been an overseas tour guide but was laid off. He ended up selling fish balls from a street stall and his income fell from USD3,000 in a good month to $200, if he was lucky.
He stuck at it for a year before beginning a slow climb back out of the economic depths.
“You couldn’t apply for a job because no one would give you one,” he said. “You couldn’t sell goods because no one was buying. You couldn’t get a loan for an investment because no one was giving them.”
Anger grew as unemployment soared. The government fell. Thailand ended up taking a bailout from the International Monetary Fund.
An exhibition at Bangkok’s Museum Siam recalls those grim days. Artifacts convey the pain of ordinary people: A Buddha statue that a businessman confided in because he couldn’t face telling his family of his ruin. An office phone over which a woman learned that her bankrupt boss had killed himself.
“I experienced it but wasn’t severely affected because I was still in school,” said Taweesak Woraritruengaurai, the exhibition’s curator. “But when I got to see all these things that are full of stories, I could feel how real it was and how much it affected many aspects of life. It affected people very deeply.”
Today, Thailand’s banking and finance sector seems more secure. Experts say crucial lessons were learned in 1997. The chances of a rerun, they say, are slim.
When the global crisis struck a decade later, Asia’s financial systems were relatively insulated, with less direct exposure to the toxic subprime mortgages that wreaked havoc on U.S. and European markets.
“I don’t think there will be another financial crisis,” said economics professor Apichart Satitniramai of Thammasat University. “Firstly, there’s a high capital adequacy ratio, which can support more risk,” he said, referring to the reserves banks must keep to deal with possible crises. Jerry Harmer, Bangkok, AP
No Comments