US exceptionalism is the only game in town

Investors naturally worry when a trade gets crowded. The dollar and US stocks have benefitted tremendously from recent global portfolio inflows. As of June 2023, the latest

This is how to divine China Vanke’s future

With about $5 billion in debt coming due this year, time is running out for China Vanke Co., the country’s largest privately-held real estate developer. Vanke has

Hong Kong-Dollar peg makes less sense than ever

Whenever the Federal Reserve turns more hawkish and the cost of dollar funding soars, debate over whether Hong Kong should change its currency’s peg resurfaces. The fixed exchange rate

Hong Kong-Dollar peg makes less sense than ever

Whenever the Federal Reserve turns more hawkish and the cost of dollar funding soars, debate over whether Hong Kong should change its currency’s peg resurfaces. The fixed exchange rate system

China Vanke’s year of reckoning has finally arrived

In China, no private enterprise is too big to fail, especially when market narratives change and a new industry dynamic takes shape. China Vanke Co., the country’s largest

Trump goes from capricious to a China patriot

From Trump the Capricious to Trump the Baby, the US president-elect has quite a few nicknames in China. The most interesting on social media is perhaps — using

Beware of China’s political grandstanding on stimulus

China has been talking about stimulating its economy for almost three months — words that have mostly not been matched by deeds. In late September, Beijing vowed

South Korea’s Yoon can kiss his stock reform goodbye

South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has been touting a so-called corporate value-up plan to tackle the nation’s notoriously depressed stock market this year. After briefly declaring martial

Luckin Coffee is just the tip of Starbucks’ China woes

As Starbucks Corp.’s new Chief Executive Officer Brian Niccol engineers a business turnaround, what to do with its operations in China must be on the top of his

No, China doesn’t really have a debt crisis

China is sitting on a lot of debt after a multi-decade infrastructure boom. Public borrowings1 hover at around 120% of gross domestic product, while a broad measure of

China’s Luckin shows Starbucks how to sell coffee

Barbarians are coming to the gate. Just as Starbucks Corp.’s new Chief Executive Officer Brian Niccol begins to revamp the ailing coffee chain, its Chinese nemesis plans to

Trump muddies an already-chaotic debate in China

They might have to meet again. As President Xi Jinping decides on the size of China’s stimulus package, he has to consider the possibility that Donald Trump, who

GoFundMe bet social media can unlock Gen Z giving

GoFundMe is introducing new tools to make it easier to share causes across social media, aiming to appeal to younger, digital-native generations. The company hopes these updates will

Xi has finally realized what’s ailing China

Once bitten, twice shy. China’s latest supercharged stimulus measures have left many investors unconvinced. Despite Beijing’s repeated promises to revive growth through rate cuts and special lending programs,

Chinese takeout in Saudi Arabia? You bet

“Going out” is a major consideration among big Chinese corporations. Pressed by shrinking profit margins at home, China Inc. is keen to expand businesses abroad. The question is

Sports betting has changed. Could it affect your health?

Sports betting has undergone a major transformation in recent years, driven by legal changes and mobile technology. “It’s not even the same world,” says Dr. Timothy Fong, a

Xi’s supply-side panacea has lost its magic

Many are worried that China is making way more than the world needs. From electric vehicles to solar panels, plunging prices at home and abroad are 

Luxury looks like a China carry trade set to unwind

Multinationals have a puzzle that they need to tease out in China, the world’s biggest market for luxury products: What’s driving a slump in sales? Is it because

How big is the yen carry trade, really?

When two popular trades, such as buying US big tech stocks and selling the Japanese yen, are unraveling at the same time, investors naturally think they are somehow

China’s had enough of its own toxic price wars

China’s Politburo, its most powerful political body, recently pledged to boost consumer spending and curb “vicious competition” among businesses. This unusually direct statement reflects growing concerns over intense

Big luxury frets that China is turning Japanese

Even LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE, the world’s most resilient luxury conglomerate, is feeling the chill. And as so often, the wind is blowing from the East.

Xi is no fan of bankers. He’s got reasons

The disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street is reaching a flash point in China. President Xi Jinping has made it clear that he is no fan

Xi must end this silly 30-year-old tax treaty

The system is ruining China’s public finance and is the root cause of the nation’s biggest economic problems. So what if China levies taxes on private jets and

Li Keqiang’s hawker economy thrives in Mao country

As China’s property downturn continues, local governments are trying to come up with an alternative development model to make ends meet and provide jobs. A few cities may

There is no shame in being Chinese

Companies like Shein that are shifting headquarters and erasing connections to China are making a mistake. No one buys it. An economic slowdown at home has prompted

Singapore-washing has hit a wall

Can private wealth management hubs stay neutral and discreet in an increasingly polarized world? Private banks in Zurich lost some of their shine after Switzerland decided to adopt

Private credit and mini-millionaires don’t mix

As fundraising from pension and endowment funds slows, private credit managers have set their eyes on wealthy individuals. The success of the $54 billion Blackstone Private Credit Fund,

All homes grow old. China will get used to it

Chinese love new apartment buildings, my real estate agent told me last year as I was looking to buy property in Hong Kong. Seeing herself as an investment

What is China’s $138 billion bond bazooka aiming at?

China selling  These offerings are special in that the government can use them for any purpose. They are not part of the fiscal deficit, so they

China’s housing mess finally comes for Xi’s own

A third year into an unprecedented housing downturn, China’s President Xi Jinping seems to be finally getting worried, prompting speculation of quantitative easing and fueling a bull run

Behind the Hong Kong market’s fast and mysterious rally

All of a sudden, the mood in Hong Kong seems to have shifted. The $5.2 trillion stock market is on its longest winning streak since 2018, with

China’s $3.7 trillion wealth industry is plagued by sub-3% returns

Which companies may blow up and which stock indexes will nosedive? Most investors are not distressed-debt specialists and are not keen to find out. As China undergoes

Making sense of China’s magical 5.3% growth

China’s first-quarter 5.3% growth handily beat expectations and Beijing’s own target of “around 5%.” But if you ask households, companies and even the taxman, the reality on the

Spring break is more of a buzz with ‘malatang’

Powered by social media, young people in China are traveling to the far corners of the country, places that those a decade or two older had missed.

Hong Kong property tycoons are selling super call options

Do people see residential property as a utility or an investment? Hong Kong’s property tycoons are racing to find out. Consider  Wong Sun Hing is essentially

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